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Master Thesis

Evaluation of the financial risk and forecasting the ecological transition related with CO2 impacted by the Covid19 Crisis

Abstract : The health crisis is prompting a fundamental rethinking of the priorities of public action. As the report of the High Council for Climate Change of 21 April 2020 points out, the enlightenment of scientists is essential because the political decision is today, even more than yesterday, faced with complex issues and uncertainties. Anticipating and preparing for long-term risks, building resilience strategies require building on the best state of the art of knowledge, such as those produced by the IPCC for climate or, It is also important to ensure that research is mobilized to match the challenges that remain. The need for scientific expertise emerges from elsewhere as soon as its origin is considered. Indeed, the pandemic is not “attributable” to climate change and humans have been confronted with zoonoses since the Neolithic era. Certainly, the globalization of trade has changed the potential impacts of its contact with animal pathogens. But is it possible to feed 8 billion people by eliminating international trade . The questions raised by confinement also highlighted how the trade-offs between health, economic and social issues had to be approached with modesty. Recognizing this complexity, however, does not prevent us from seeing that this crisis constitutes a major warning: we were not well prepared to suffer such a shock because we did not anticipate the emerging risks sufficiently, whether they were health risks, This observation of vulnerabilities resulting from our lifestyles and insufficiently taken into account by public policies goes beyond the theme of epidemics. For example, when it comes to climate, we know that we were not, before the crisis, on sustainable paths in the fields of transport, buildings and agriculture; and that the necessary adaptation results only from past or near-future accumulation. greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere represent major challenges for cities and agriculture (heat waves, extreme events, rising sea levels, water stress...). In terms of the collapse of biodiversity, the circular economy, the health impacts of diffuse pollution, the health and environmental impacts of diets, the very qualification of the issues or the awareness of them-The European Commission has been working on a number of issues, this survey deals with the ecological transition and Co2 emission after Covid19 crisis, also the corporate finance presentation and Monte Carlo statistical risk analysis method implemented for financial forecasting.
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Master Thesis
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Submitted on : Wednesday, March 17, 2021 - 3:11:45 PM
Last modification on : Saturday, April 3, 2021 - 3:26:24 AM
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  • HAL Id : dumas-02995139, version 1


Yacine Cerbah. Evaluation of the financial risk and forecasting the ecological transition related with CO2 impacted by the Covid19 Crisis. Business administration. 2020. ⟨dumas-02995139⟩



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