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Master Thesis

Subjective Perceptions and Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change in Bangladesh

Abstract : The aim of this paper is to analyze how subjective perceptions of climate change of farmers in Bangladesh affect the implementation of on-farm adaptation strategies to climate change. I present a model of subjective perceptions and adaptation in response to a change in climatic conditions. The empirical analysis is based on a unique national-representative panel dataset of rural households in Bangladesh and adopts a two-step approach disentangling the role of subjective perceptions on on-farm adaptation. I assess the accuracy of beliefs by comparing subjective probabilities to historical meteorological data and find considerable heterogeneity in beliefs and accuracy, depending on weather events and seasonal patterns. Moreover, I test whether farmers are subject to confirmation bias, finding that they tend to recall information and overweight evidence in a way that it confirms their own beliefs. The accuracy of farmers’ beliefs explains differences in the adaptation decision-making process. A detailed comprehension of farmers’ perceptions of climate change and adaptation strategies can significantly contribute to the design of adequate policies for agricultural security.
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Master Thesis
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Contributor : Paris School of Economics École d'Économie de Paris Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Monday, December 7, 2020 - 10:41:28 PM
Last modification on : Wednesday, October 27, 2021 - 5:16:47 AM
Long-term archiving on: : Monday, March 8, 2021 - 8:08:25 PM


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  • HAL Id : dumas-03045218, version 1




Guglielmo Zappalà. Subjective Perceptions and Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change in Bangladesh. Economics and Finance. 2020. ⟨dumas-03045218⟩



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