Skip to Main content Skip to Navigation
Master Thesis

Subjective Perceptions and Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change in Bangladesh

Abstract : The aim of this paper is to analyze how subjective perceptions of climate change of farmers in Bangladesh affect the implementation of on-farm adaptation strategies to climate change. I present a model of subjective perceptions and adaptation in response to a change in climatic conditions. The empirical analysis is based on a unique national-representative panel dataset of rural households in Bangladesh and adopts a two-step approach disentangling the role of subjective perceptions on on-farm adaptation. I assess the accuracy of beliefs by comparing subjective probabilities to historical meteorological data and find considerable heterogeneity in beliefs and accuracy, depending on weather events and seasonal patterns. Moreover, I test whether farmers are subject to confirmation bias, finding that they tend to recall information and overweight evidence in a way that it confirms their own beliefs. The accuracy of farmers’ beliefs explains differences in the adaptation decision-making process. A detailed comprehension of farmers’ perceptions of climate change and adaptation strategies can significantly contribute to the design of adequate policies for agricultural security.
Document type :
Master Thesis
Complete list of metadata

https://dumas.ccsd.cnrs.fr/dumas-03045218
Contributor : Paris School of Economics École d'Économie de Paris <>
Submitted on : Monday, December 7, 2020 - 10:41:28 PM
Last modification on : Tuesday, January 19, 2021 - 11:09:00 AM
Long-term archiving on: : Monday, March 8, 2021 - 8:08:25 PM

File

MT_202005.pdf
Files produced by the author(s)

Identifiers

  • HAL Id : dumas-03045218, version 1

Collections

Citation

Guglielmo Zappalà. Subjective Perceptions and Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change in Bangladesh. Economics and Finance. 2020. ⟨dumas-03045218⟩

Share

Metrics

Record views

155

Files downloads

90